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| Optionetics.com A fierce last-minute (well, less than thirty-minute period) of bulls reflecting over gravity, the disconnect between the markets and economic engine that's still a clunker, and a likely and lowly VIX at key psychological support of 20% finally paid dividends for bears!!! Well, that's not exactly true. The bears, outside the Fast Money-types who sold the canary action in "Mr. Market" (GS), in fact are still well underwater.
After a near perfect 13, 5 and "extended 13" week run in favor of the bull, I'd like to emphasize "There's always a bear market somewhere." And maybe, just maybe-investors will find some of that under-the-surface laggardship leading the way towards bulls, one and all, to strap on additional "red chutes" into one of those healthy but usually not-so-soothing corrective market circumstances.
Figure 1: J&J (JNJ) Topping Daily "No more tears?" I don't personally think so when perusing the tea leaves of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). After an ambitious test of highs immediately in front of its earnings release, shares of JNJ confirmed investors' collective conviction was, after all, a double top. In the present, well on the heels of Wednesday's market humper, three sessions of distribution have followed a gap breakdown back into the lateral consolidation. In conjunction with a Wave 5 top which appears a bit too optimistic for shares to tag, JNJ looks ripe for further correcting after its latest lateral period of digestion and a close below its 50-DMA.
Figure 2: Texas Instruments (TXN) Daily Bear "Tech Wreck anyone?" Not me, but while my vote doesn't foresee a dot-bomb repeat, there have been a few high profile laggards leading an anticipated corrective move for Mr. Market. Qualcomm (QCOM) and Verizon (VZ) are a couple of the more obvious choices in asking, "Where's the beef?" Another and shown above in Figure 2 is Texas Instruments (TXN). The daily pretty much speaks for itself, as a handful of distribution days have occurred within a flag or right shoulder. Those bearish developments have been held mostly in check by an overhead 50-SMA acting as resistance. The action is all the more worrisome as Texas Instruments actually put together a strong report this week. Technically speaking, pardon the pun, the report should have pleased and pushed bulls into the laggard and broken the fore-mentioned bearish patterns. The fact investors were unable to show a convincing show of appreciation on the daily, as well as the weekly tea leaves (not shown) forging a potential W4 high, aren't thought to be good signs for TXN. All I can say is don't say the sheriff from the south didn't warn you if the bulls find themselves in a losing gunfight with those villainous bears.
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